ÿþ<html> <head> <title>Trader Dealer - eNewsletter</title> <meta name="GENERATOR" content="MSHTML 8.00.6001.18876"> <meta name="SKYPE_FRAMEID" content="SBKWYEKCHQ"> <meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html; charset=utf-8"> <meta name="ProgId" content="Word.Document"> <meta name="Generator" content="Microsoft Word 11"> <meta name="Originator" content="Microsoft Word 11"> <meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html; charset=utf-8"> <meta name="ProgId" content="Word.Document"> <meta name="Generator" content="Microsoft Word 12"> <meta name="Originator" content="Microsoft Word 12"> </head> <body style="font-family: verdana; font-size: 9pt;"> <table style="vertical-align: top; top: auto;" width="840" align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="center"> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table style="padding: 0px; width: 840px;" align="center" bgcolor="#000000" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="center"> <br/> <img src="http://emarketer.mdsfinancial.com.au/admin/temp/templates/22/100609-New-Trader-Dealer-e-newsletter-header2.jpg" style="width: 800px; height: 307px;" alt="Trader Dealer newsletter header image"/> <table style="width: 800px;" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td style="background: rgb(255, 255, 255) none no-repeat scroll 0% 50%; text-align: justify; vertical-align: top;" width="100%" valign="top"> <table style="width: 100%; vertical-align: top;" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody> <tr style="background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"> <td style="padding: 6px; background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-align: center; font-weight: bold; height: 25px; font-family: verdana; font-size: 12pt;" width="50%"> TRADER DEALER NEWS<br/></td> <td style="padding: 6px; background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-align: center; font-weight: bold; height: 25px; font-family: verdana; font-size: 12pt;" width="50%"> MARKET WRAP<br/></td> </tr> <tr> <!-- LEFT COLUMN CONTENT START --> <td style="padding: 0px 8px; font-family: verdana; font-size: 10pt; text-align: justify; vertical-align: top;" width="50%"> <div style="text-align: right; color: rgb(0, 169, 79); font-weight: bold; font-family: verdana; font-size: 11pt;"><br/>Edition Number 44</div> <p>This week in the Trader Dealer Newsletter:<br/></p> <p> This week we ve seen the RBA leave interest rates on hold, and activity picking up in the mining merger & acquisition area, following the evolution of the Resource Super-Profits Tax (RSPT) to the Minerals Resource Rent Tax (MRRT). Check our market wrap for the full story. </p> <span style="color: rgb(0, 169, 79); font-weight: bold;">Analyst's Eye<br/></span> <p> In this week s <a target="_blank" href="http://blog.traderdealer.com.au/2010/07/09/stock-market-analysis-the-case-for-a-market-rebound/">Analyst s Eye</a> our Head of Research, Michael Hevern, takes a look at the case for a market rebound and identifies some trading strategies for making a profit if a rebound unfolds. </p> <span style="color: rgb(0, 169, 79); font-weight: bold;">The Bourse is back!<br/></span> <p> Users of The Bourse will notice a fresh new look at the <a target="_blank" href="http://www.boursedata.com.au/">Bourse Data website</a>. Bourse Data is our sister company and has been a leader in the share market software industry for many years. You will be seeing a number of changes with The Bourse over the next 12 months. If you re interested in trying out The Bourse s charting and technical analysis capabilities, a <a target="_blank" href="http://www.boursedata.com.au/products/freetrial/sign-up.aspx">14 day free trial</a> is available from the website. <br/></p> <p></p> <span style="color: rgb(0, 169, 79); font-weight: bold;">Trader Dealer Blog<br/></span> <p> Smart traders know that information is key, we re happy to be seeing more and more people clicking into the <a target="_blank" href="http://blog.traderdealer.com.au/">Trader Dealer Blog</a> each day for our daily <a target="_blank" href="http://blog.traderdealer.com.au/category/stock-market-analysis/">stock market analysis</a>. The Trader Dealer Blog is a fantastic free resource for information on <a target="_blank" href="http://blog.traderdealer.com.au/category/sharepurchaseplan/">share purchase plans</a>, <a target="_blank" href="http://blog.traderdealer.com.au/category/upcoming-dividends/">dividends</a>, <a target="_blank" href="http://blog.traderdealer.com.au/category/trading-strategies/">trading strategies</a> and <a target="_blank" href="http://blog.traderdealer.com.au/category/asxcompanynews/">market news</a>. You can also sign up for our RSS feed and have blog updates delivered straight to your inbox.<br/></p> <p> Well that s it from me for this week. Don t forget to place your tips in the <a target="_blank" href="http://supertipping.geelongadvertiser.com.au/">Trader Dealer SuperTipping</a> league - we re getting closer to finding out who will win the $1000 cash prize. <br/></p> <p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: 10pt;"></span><font color="#339966"><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: 10pt;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><span style="color: rgb(0, 169, 79); font-weight: bold;">Happy trading!</span></span></span></font><br/><br/><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: 10pt;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">Tom Boland</span></span><br/><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: 10pt;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">Trader Dealer Manager</span></span><br/><a href="http://www.mdsfinancial.com.au" target="_blank"><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: 10pt;"></span></a></p> <p> <a href="http://www.mdsfinancial.com.au" target="_blank">MDS Financial Group</a><br/> <a href="http://www.traderdealer.com.au" target="_blank">Trader Dealer Online</a><br/> <a href="http://emarketer.mdsfinancial.com.au/link.php?M=2418449&N=1639&L=304&F=H">http://blog.traderdealer.com.au</a> </p> <a href="http://emarketer.mdsfinancial.com.au/link.php?M=2418449&N=1639&L=355&F=H"><img src="http://emarketer.mdsfinancial.com.au/admin/temp/templates/22/tbutton_02.png" class="twitter" width="180" border="0" height="75"/></a> </td> <!-- LEFT COLUMN CONTENT END --> <!-- RIGHT COLUMN CONTENT START --> <td style="padding: 0px 8px; font-family: verdana; font-size: 10pt; text-align: justify; vertical-align: top;" width="50%"> <br/> <span style="color: rgb(0, 169, 79); font-weight: bold;"></span> <span style="color: rgb(0, 169, 79); font-weight: bold;">Weekly Market Wrap<br/></span> <p></p> <p> Overseas markets started the week trading lower but this has given investors a chance to step in and pick up stocks that have been heavily oversold. The economic news in Australia continues to surprise to the upside. The mining sector and Merger & Acquisition activity picked up this week on the resolution of the RSPT. Improving investor sentiment was also supported with the better-than-expected employment report and the International Monetary Fund s (IMF) upgrade of its economic growth forecasts. Markets worldwide continued higher overnight as the IMF upgraded its 2010 global growth forecast to 4.6 percent (from 4.2 percent), citing robust expansions in Asia and renewed U.S. private demand. It warned that the EU debt issues pose a significant risk to recovery and expect the Asian regional economy to grow 7.5 percent in 2010 (up from 7 percent). </p> <span style="color: rgb(0, 169, 79); font-weight: bold;">US Markets<br/></span> <p></p> <p> The U.S. markets have traded higher for a third straight day for the first time since April. Investor sentiment was supported after the Department of Labor said new claims for US unemployment benefits had dipped more than expected last week, with initial claims falling to 454,000 in the week ending 3 July (from 475,000 in the previous week). The recovery this week has been broad-based across all sectors. Overnight the Dow was up 120 points, or 1.2 per cent, to 10,139. In the broader market the S&P 500 index was up 10 points (or 0.9 per cent) to 1,070 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq ended up 16 points or 2.8 per cent at 2,175. </p> <span style="color: rgb(0, 169, 79); font-weight: bold;">European Markets<br/></span> <p></p> <p> Overnight the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of England (BoE) both confirmed that they will leave their interest rates at historic lows. Banks have led the European markets higher this week as investors are becoming more comfortable with the stress test methodology that the banking system will undergo, as it shows the EU regulators are serious. EU regulators have confirmed they will carry out their  stress test on 91 banks (14 from Germany, 6 from Greece and 4 from the U.K.), accounting for 65 percent of the bank areas. The test will review whether the banks could withstand a shrinking economy and a drop in government bond values (assuming a 17 percent loss in Greek government debt and 3 percent loss on Spanish bonds). The results will be released on 23 July on a bank-by-bank basis. This news helps the European markets. In London the FTSE 100 index was up 90 points (or 1.8 per cent) to 5,014 points, the German DAX was up 43 points, or 0.7 per cent, to 6035 points, while in France the CAC rose 54 points, or 1.6 per cent, to 3,538 points. </p> <p></p><p></p><p> <a href="http://blog.traderdealer.com.au/2010/07/09/stock-market-analysis-weekly-market-wrap/" _blank=""><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: 10pt;">Continued...</span></a> </p> </td> <!-- RIGHT COLUMN CONTENT END --> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2"> <br/> <p style="padding: 10px; text-align: center; font-weight: bold; font-size: 12pt; font-family: verdana;">ASX 200</p> <p style="text-align: center;" align="center"> <img title="" alt="" src="http://emarketer.mdsfinancial.com.au/admin/temp/newsletters/1844/20100708_AXJO2.gif" width="723" align="Baseline" border="0" height="327" hspace="0"/> </p> <p style="padding: 10px; text-align: center; font-weight: bold; font-size: 12pt; font-family: verdana;">Source: Market Analyser - Gold</p> <br/> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="vertical-align: top;" colspan="2"> <table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td style="vertical-align: top;" width="500"> <!-- ANALYST EYE START --> <table style="width: 100%;" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody> <tr style="background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"> <td style="padding: 6px 6px 6px 10px; background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); color: rgb(255, 255, 255); height: 25px; vertical-align: middle; font-weight: bold; font-family: verdana; font-size: 12pt;"> ANALYST'S EYE<br/></td> </tr> <tr> <td style="padding: 0pt 10px; font-family: verdana; font-size: 10pt; text-align: justify; vertical-align: top;"> <span style="color: rgb(0, 169, 79); font-weight: bold;"><br/>The Case for a Market Rebound<br/></span> <p> Stock markets worldwide have pulled back significantly in the past quarter. This pull back has presented investors with opportunities to buy stocks that have been significantly oversold and now represent good value. Trades are setting up with a good risk/reward opportunity and we have seen traders step into the markets over the past couple of days. This is setting the markets up for a bounce in the near term.</p> <p>Last week we reviewed the <a target="_blank" href="http://blog.traderdealer.com.au/2010/07/02/cfd-trading-seasonal-weakness-and-contracts-for-difference-cfds/">seasonality of the markets</a> in an attempt to give investors a potential road map of what to expect in the markets over the next quarter. This review was carried out using seasonal analysis of 26 years of ASX data. Our Education Manager Jeff Cartridge concluded by saying  July and August look much stronger from a seasonal perspective and provided some strategies for hedging your portfolio.</p> <span style="color: rgb(0, 169, 79); font-weight: bold;">How to Profit from a Rebound<br/></span> <p>This week we look at the case for a market rebound and identify some strategies to profit if a rebound unfolds.</p> <p></p><p></p><p> <a href="http://blog.traderdealer.com.au/2010/07/09/stock-market-analysis-the-case-for-a-market-rebound/" _blank=""><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: 10pt;">Continued...</span></a> </p> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <!-- ANALYST EYE END --> </td> <td style="padding-left: 20px; vertical-align: top;"> <!-- TOP GAINERS START --> <table style="font-family: verdana; font-size: 10pt;" width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="0"> <tbody> <tr style="background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); height: 40px; color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"> <th colspan="3" style="padding: 5px; background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); height: 40px; color: rgb(255, 255, 255); font-weight: bold; font-family: verdana;"> <span style="font-size: 12pt;">TOP GAINERS</span><br/> <span style="color: rgb(160, 203, 107); font-size: 8pt;">(COB 08/07/2010)</span><br/> </th> </tr> <tr> <th width="20%"> Code</th> <th style="text-align: right;" width="20%"> Last</th> <th style="text-align: right;" width="30%"> Change %</th> </tr> <tr> <td> CEY<br/></td> <td style="text-align: right;"> $5.900</td> <td style="text-align: right; color: rgb(86, 159, 110);"> &nbsp; 34.1<br/></td> </tr> <tr> <td> ABC<br/></td> <td style="text-align: right;"> $3.030</td> <td style="text-align: right; color: rgb(86, 159, 110);"> 15.2<br/></td> </tr> <tr> <td> EQN<br/></td> <td style="text-align: right;"> $4.590</td> <td style="text-align: right; color: rgb(86, 159, 110);"> 10.3<br/></td> </tr> <tr> <td> DOW<br/></td> <td style="text-align: right;"> $3.730</td> <td style="text-align: right; color: rgb(86, 159, 110);"> 9.1<br/></td> </tr> <tr> <td> FMG<br/></td> <td style="text-align: right;"> $4.350</td> <td style="text-align: right; color: rgb(86, 159, 110);"> 8.8<br/></td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <!-- TOP GAINERS END --> <br/> <!-- TOP LOSERS START --> <table style="font-family: verdana; font-size: 10pt;" width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="0"> <tbody> <tr style="background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); height: 40px; color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"> <th colspan="3" style="padding: 5px; background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); color: rgb(255, 255, 255); height: 40px; font-weight: bold; font-family: verdana;"> <span style="font-size: 12pt;">TOP LOSERS</span><br/> <span style="color: rgb(160, 203, 107); font-size: 8pt;">(COB 08/07/2010)</span><br/> </th> </tr> <tr> <th width="20%"> Code</th> <th style="text-align: right;" width="20%"> Last</th> <th style="text-align: right;" width="30%"> Change %</th> </tr> <tr> <td> BLD<br/></td> <td style="text-align: right;"> $4.400</td> <td style="text-align: right; color: rgb(255, 44, 44);"> -8.1&nbsp; <br/></td> </tr> <tr> <td> AQP<br/></td> <td style="text-align: right;"> $5.160</td> <td style="text-align: right; color: rgb(255, 44, 44);"> -7.5&nbsp; <br/></td> </tr> <tr> <td> AVO<br/></td> <td style="text-align: right;"> $2.550</td> <td style="text-align: right; color: rgb(255, 44, 44);"> -5.6&nbsp; <br/></td> </tr> <tr> <td> MBN<br/></td> <td style="text-align: right;"> $1.975</td> <td style="text-align: right; color: rgb(255, 44, 44);"> -4.1&nbsp; <br/></td> </tr> <tr> <td> AWE<br/></td> <td style="text-align: right;"> $1.645</td> <td style="text-align: right; color: rgb(255, 44, 44);"> -3.8&nbsp; <br/></td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <!-- TOP LOSERS END --> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="vertical-align: top;" colspan="2"> <!-- FINANCIAL CALENDAR START --> <table style="padding-left: 0px; width: 100%; padding-right: 0px; vertical-align: top; padding-top: 10px;" bgcolor="#ffffff" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td style="vertical-align: top;" align="left" height="" valign="middle"> <p style="font-size: 10pt;"> </p> <br/> <table style="width: 100%; height: 363px;" width="" align="Center" border="0" cellpadding="5" cellspacing="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align: center; background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); height: 25px; color: rgb(255, 255, 255); font-size: 12pt; font-family: verdana; vertical-align: top; font-weight: bold;" colspan="5" align="left" valign="center"> FINANCIAL CALENDAR</td> </tr> <tr> <th style="border: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); text-align: center; background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); width: 20%; color: rgb(255, 255, 255); font-weight: bold; font-size: 11pt; font-family: verdana;"> Monday 12th </th> <th style="border: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); text-align: center; background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); width: 20%; color: rgb(255, 255, 255); font-weight: bold; font-size: 11pt; font-family: verdana;"> Tuesday 13th </th> <th style="border: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); text-align: center; background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); width: 20%; color: rgb(255, 255, 255); font-weight: bold; font-size: 11pt; font-family: verdana;"> Wednesday 14th </th> <th style="border: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); text-align: center; background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); width: 20%; color: rgb(255, 255, 255); font-weight: bold; font-size: 11pt; font-family: verdana;"> Thursday 15th </th> <th style="border: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); text-align: center; background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); width: 20%; color: rgb(255, 255, 255); font-weight: bold; font-size: 11pt; font-family: verdana;"> Friday 16th </th> </tr> <tr style="vertical-align: top;"> <td style="border-right: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: verdana;"> <p style="color: rgb(0, 169, 79); font-size: 10pt; font-family: verdana; font-weight: bold;"><br/> </p><br/></td> <td style="border-right: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: verdana;"> <p style="color: rgb(0, 169, 79); font-size: 10pt; font-family: verdana; font-weight: bold;"> United States</p> <p style="font-size: 10pt;"> Trade Bal,<br/> May (last-$40.4bn)<br/></p></td> <td style="border-right: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: verdana;"> <p style="color: rgb(0, 169, 79); font-size: 10pt; font-family: verdana; font-weight: bold;"> United States</p> <p style="font-size: 10pt;"> Retail sales,<br/> Jun (last-1.2%)<br/> Bus Inv, May (last 0.4%)</p></td> <td style="border-right: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: verdana;"> <p style="color: rgb(0, 169, 79); font-size: 10pt; font-family: verdana; font-weight: bold;"> United States</p> <p style="font-size: 10pt;"> Initial Jobless Claims,<br/> July 3 Ind Prod, Jun (last 1.2%) Philly Fed, Jul (last 8.0%)<br/> </p> </td> <td style="border-right: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: verdana;"> <p style="color: rgb(0, 169, 79); font-size: 10pt; font-family: verdana; font-weight: bold;"> United States</p> <p style="font-size: 10pt;"> Wholesale Inv,<br/> May (last 0.4%)<br/> </p> </td> </tr> <tr style="vertical-align: top;"> <td style="border-right: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: verdana;"> <p style="color: rgb(0, 169, 79); font-size: 10pt; font-family: verdana; font-weight: bold;"> Australia</p> <p style="font-size: 10pt;"> Housing finance,<br/> May (last -0.8%)<br/> </p> </td> <td style="border-right: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: verdana;"> <p style="color: rgb(0, 169, 79); font-size: 10pt; font-family: verdana; font-weight: bold;"> Australia</p> <p style="font-size: 10pt;"> Conditions survey,<br/>June (last 6 & 5)<br/> </p> </td> <td style="border-right: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: verdana;"> <p style="color: rgb(0, 169, 79); font-size: 10pt; font-family: verdana; font-weight: bold;"> Australia</p> <p style="font-size: 10pt;"> Consumer Conf,<br/> Jul (last-5.7%)<br/> </p> </td> <td style="border-right: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: verdana;"> <p style="color: rgb(0, 169, 79); font-size: 10pt; font-family: verdana; font-weight: bold;"> Australia</p> <p style="font-size: 10pt;"> Consumer inflation exp,<br/> Jul (last 3.4%)<br/> New motor vehicle sales,<br/> Jun (last -3.2%)<br/> </p> </td> <td style="border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: verdana;"> &nbsp;</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <!-- FINANCIAL CALENDAR END --> <br/><br/> <!-- DISCLAIMER START --> <table width="97%" align="center" border="0" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="2"> <tbody> <tr> <td style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: verdana; font-size: 8pt; text-align: justify;"> <span style="font-weight: bold;">Disclaimer</span><br/><br/> Trader Dealer Online Pty Ltd ('Trader Dealer Online') ACN 090 611 680 is part of MDS Financial Group Ltd ABN 90 091 744 884. 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