ÿþ<html> <head> <title>Trader Dealer - eNewsletter</title> <meta name="GENERATOR" content="MSHTML 8.00.6001.18876"> <meta name="SKYPE_FRAMEID" content="SBKWYEKCHQ"> <meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html; charset=utf-8"> <meta name="ProgId" content="Word.Document"> <meta name="Generator" content="Microsoft Word 11"> <meta name="Originator" content="Microsoft Word 11"> <meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html; charset=utf-8"> <meta name="ProgId" content="Word.Document"> <meta name="Generator" content="Microsoft Word 12"> <meta name="Originator" content="Microsoft Word 12"> </head> <body style="font-family: verdana; font-size: 9pt;"> <table style="vertical-align: top; top: auto;" width="840" align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="center"> </tr> </tbody> </table> <table style="padding: 0px; width: 840px;" align="center" bgcolor="#000000" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="center"> <br/> <img src="http://emarketer.mdsfinancial.com.au/admin/temp/templates/22/100609-New-Trader-Dealer-e-newsletter-header2.jpg" style="width: 800px; height: 307px;" alt="Trader Dealer newsletter header image"/> <table style="width: 800px;" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td style="background: rgb(255, 255, 255) none no-repeat scroll 0% 50%; text-align: justify; vertical-align: top;" width="100%" valign="top"> <table style="width: 100%; vertical-align: top;" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody> <tr style="background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"> <td style="padding: 6px; background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-align: center; font-weight: bold; height: 25px; font-family: verdana; font-size: 12pt;" width="50%"> TRADER DEALER NEWS<br/></td> <td style="padding: 6px; background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-align: center; font-weight: bold; height: 25px; font-family: verdana; font-size: 12pt;" width="50%"> MARKET WRAP<br/></td> </tr> <tr> <!-- LEFT COLUMN CONTENT START --> <td style="padding: 0px 8px; font-family: verdana; font-size: 10pt; text-align: justify; vertical-align: top;" width="50%"> <div style="text-align: right; color: rgb(0, 169, 79); font-weight: bold; font-family: verdana; font-size: 11pt;"><br/>Edition Number 43</div> <p>Welcome to another edition of the Trader Dealer e-newsletter!</p> <p> First I d like to say happy new financial year to you all and good luck with your tax returns. It s always a very busy time of the year so for those of you who are looking to reduce your tax for next year, have a read of our <a target="_blank" href="http://blog.traderdealer.com.au/2010/06/28/tax-tips-tax-time-cleanup-beckons/">Tax Tips article</a> for some handy tips! </p> <p> One of the main topics this week has continued to be the Resources Super-Profits Tax (RSPT) and the recent news that the Labor government has negotiated a deal with the mining industry. Under the new agreement, the headline tax rate will be reduced to 30% as opposed to the original 40% rate and the tax will be renamed to the  Minerals Resource Rent Tax . You can read more on the highlights of the deal in our Weekly Market Wrap.<br/> </p><p></p> <span style="color: rgb(0, 169, 79); font-weight: bold;">ANALYST'S EYE<br/></span> <p></p> <p></p><p>In the <a target="_blank" href="http://blog.traderdealer.com.au/2010/07/02/cfd-trading-seasonal-weakness-and-contracts-for-difference-cfds/">Analyst s Eye</a> this week, our Education Manager Jeff takes a look at seasonal weakness and the history of seasonal tendencies for this time of the year. He also provides an insight into what you can do if the seasonal patterns turn negative. </p> <p> Well that s it from me this week and I hope you all have a great weekend. As a loyal Cats supporter I will be cheering on my team when they play the Roos this weekend and hopefully they will win to help my tips in the <a target="_blank" href="http://supertipping.geelongadvertiser.com.au/">Trader Dealer SuperTipping</a> league.<br/></p> <p><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: 10pt;"></span><font color="#339966"><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: 10pt;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><span style="color: rgb(0, 169, 79); font-weight: bold;">Happy trading!</span></span></span></font><br/><br/><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: 10pt;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">Damian Isbister</span></span><br/><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: 10pt;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">CEO-Software & Online Trading</span></span><br/><a href="http://www.mdsfinancial.com.au" target="_blank"><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: 10pt;"></span></a></p> <p> <a href="http://www.mdsfinancial.com.au" target="_blank">MDS Financial Group</a><br/> <a href="http://www.traderdealer.com.au" target="_blank">Trader Dealer Online</a><br/> <a href="http://emarketer.mdsfinancial.com.au/link.php?M=2418449&N=1639&L=304&F=H">http://blog.traderdealer.com.au</a> </p> <a href="http://emarketer.mdsfinancial.com.au/link.php?M=2418449&N=1639&L=355&F=H"><img src="http://emarketer.mdsfinancial.com.au/admin/temp/templates/22/tbutton_02.png" class="twitter" width="180" border="0" height="75"/></a> </td> <!-- LEFT COLUMN CONTENT END --> <!-- RIGHT COLUMN CONTENT START --> <td style="padding: 0px 8px; font-family: verdana; font-size: 10pt; text-align: justify; vertical-align: top;" width="50%"> <br/> <span style="color: rgb(0, 169, 79); font-weight: bold;"></span> <span style="color: rgb(0, 169, 79); font-weight: bold;">Weekly Market Wrap<br/></span> <p></p> <p> Overseas markets continue to trade lower with the U.S. giving us a negative lead. Also commodities traded lower overnight around 3% across the board. The big news on the ASX is that a deal has been done on the RSPT mining tax. The ASX will get some lift from the deal but we are likely follow overseas markets more broadly </p> <span style="color: rgb(0, 169, 79); font-weight: bold;">US Markets<br/></span> <p></p> <p> The U.S. markets were lower this week due to reports of poor home sales, manufacturing data and apprehension over tomorrow's unemployment report. Also the U.S. has a shortened week next week. Overnight the Dow was down 0.4 per cent to 9,732 (down 4.5% for the quarter), while in the broader market the S&P 500 Index was down 0.3 per cent, to 1,027 (down 5.9% for the quarter) and the tech-heavy Nasdaq is down 0.4 per cent at 2,101 (down 6.3% for the quarter). </p> <span style="color: rgb(0, 169, 79); font-weight: bold;">European Markets<br/></span> <p></p> <p> In Europe investor concerns were heightened as Spain's credit rating was downgraded by Moody's. Overnight the London FTSE 100 Index was down 2.3 per cent, to 4,805 points (down 13.5% for the quarter) and the German DAX pulled back 1.8 per cent, to 5,857 points (down 3.7% for the quarter). </p> <span style="color: rgb(0, 169, 79); font-weight: bold;">Asian Markets<br/></span> <p></p> <p> The key news in Asia continues to point to a slowing economic recovery. The Chinese markets have fallen to a 14 month low on concerns their fiscal tightening will stunt their economic growth. Overnight, Japan's Nikkei index was down 2.1% to end at 9,191 (down 3.6% for the quarter) and China was down 1.0% at 2,374 (down 22% for the quarter). </p> <p></p> <span style="color: rgb(0, 169, 79); font-weight: bold;">ASX News<br/></span> <p></p> <p> </p><p> The big news of the week has been the negotiations over the RSPT and overnight a deal has been done. The government has given ground to the miners to the tune of $1.5 billion, but miners will still pay more tax.</p> <p> The highlights of the deal are that the headline tax rate will be reduced to 30% (from the original 40% rate), the trigger point at which the tax cuts in will be the bond rate plus 7 per cent, and existing projects will get concessions. The tax will be applied to the point of extraction, be renamed the "Minerals Resource Rent Tax" and will only apply to iron ore and coal projects. Oil and gas projects will fall under the existing Petroleum Resource Rent Tax. This should give our miners some support near term.. </p><p></p> <span style="color: rgb(0, 169, 79); font-weight: bold;">Our View<br/></span> <p></p> <p> With the significant pullback in overseas markets, analysts are starting to see some value, but markets need to stabilise before a turnaround can happen. The ASX 200 continues to trade lower in sympathy with overseas markets. The key support level is around 4,200 and the key levels for our index next week are 4450 and 4150. Our market will be guided by overseas sentiment, but the RSPT deal should help miners near term. </p> </td> <!-- RIGHT COLUMN CONTENT END --> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2"> <br/> <p style="padding: 10px; text-align: center; font-weight: bold; font-size: 12pt; font-family: verdana;">ASX 200</p> <p style="text-align: center;" align="center"> <img title="" alt="" src="http://emarketer.mdsfinancial.com.au/admin/temp/newsletters/1836/20100701_AXJO2.gif" width="649" align="Baseline" border="0" height="356"/> </p> <p style="padding: 10px; text-align: center; font-weight: bold; font-size: 12pt; font-family: verdana;">Source: Market Analyser - Gold</p> <br/> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="vertical-align: top;" colspan="2"> <table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td style="vertical-align: top;" width="500"> <!-- ANALYST EYE START --> <table style="width: 100%;" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody> <tr style="background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"> <td style="padding: 6px 6px 6px 10px; background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); color: rgb(255, 255, 255); height: 25px; vertical-align: middle; font-weight: bold; font-family: verdana; font-size: 12pt;"> ANALYST'S EYE<br/></td> </tr> <tr> <td style="padding: 0pt 10px; font-family: verdana; font-size: 10pt; text-align: justify; vertical-align: top;"> <span style="color: rgb(0, 169, 79); font-weight: bold;"><br/>Seasonal Weakness and Contracts for Difference (CFDs)<br/></span> <p> The markets have certainly been weak lately, falling to new lows day after day into the end of the financial year. This drop is not unusual, with seasonal weakness showing up during June each year. Maybe it is investors realising losses before the year end or raising funds to prepay interest on investment loans that has this downward effect on the market. If we take a look at the history of seasonal tendencies then this year is right on track with previous years and the pattern they play out. <a target="_blank" href="http://blog.traderdealer.com.au/2010/07/02/cfd-trading-seasonal-weakness-and-contracts-for-difference-cfds/">Look at the chart</a>&nbsp; which shows the regular pattern of the markets that have occurred historically. Weakness through May and June is normal and not something unusual at all. Even the bounce in mid June played out as expected from studying these historical patterns.</p> <p>Looking on the bright side of things however July and August look much stronger, from a seasonal perspective. Newly invested funds and superannuation are often put to work in early July, giving the stock market a lift at this time. But is it different this time? </p> <p>Currently global growth is suffering and governments world wide are loaded with debt. Are we going to see a strong rally through July as we have in the past?</p> <p></p><p></p><p> <a href="http://blog.traderdealer.com.au/2010/07/02/cfd-trading-seasonal-weakness-and-contracts-for-difference-cfds/" _blank=""><span style="font-family: verdana; font-size: 10pt;">Continued...</span></a> </p> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <!-- ANALYST EYE END --> </td> <td style="padding-left: 20px; vertical-align: top;"> <!-- TOP GAINERS START --> <table style="font-family: verdana; font-size: 10pt;" width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="0"> <tbody> <tr style="background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); height: 40px; color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"> <th colspan="3" style="padding: 5px; background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); height: 40px; color: rgb(255, 255, 255); font-weight: bold; font-family: verdana;"> <span style="font-size: 12pt;">TOP GAINERS</span><br/> <span style="color: rgb(160, 203, 107); font-size: 8pt;">(COB 01/07/2010)</span><br/> </th> </tr> <tr> <th width="20%"> Code</th> <th style="text-align: right;" width="20%"> Last</th> <th style="text-align: right;" width="30%"> Change %</th> </tr> <tr> <td> AVO<br/></td> <td style="text-align: right;"> $2.700</td> <td style="text-align: right; color: rgb(86, 159, 110);"> &nbsp; 4.2<br/></td> </tr> <tr> <td> MTS<br/></td> <td style="text-align: right;"> $4.320</td> <td style="text-align: right; color: rgb(86, 159, 110);"> 3.8<br/></td> </tr> <tr> <td> AGK<br/></td> <td style="text-align: right;"> $14.990</td> <td style="text-align: right; color: rgb(86, 159, 110);"> 1.9<br/></td> </tr> <tr> <td> CPB<br/></td> <td style="text-align: right;"> $30.000</td> <td style="text-align: right; color: rgb(86, 159, 110);"> 1.4<br/></td> </tr> <tr> <td> SGT<br/></td> <td style="text-align: right;"> $2.560</td> <td style="text-align: right; color: rgb(86, 159, 110);"> 1.2<br/></td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <!-- TOP GAINERS END --> <br/> <!-- TOP LOSERS START --> <table style="font-family: verdana; font-size: 10pt;" width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="0"> <tbody> <tr style="background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); height: 40px; color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"> <th colspan="3" style="padding: 5px; background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); color: rgb(255, 255, 255); height: 40px; font-weight: bold; font-family: verdana;"> <span style="font-size: 12pt;">TOP LOSERS</span><br/> <span style="color: rgb(160, 203, 107); font-size: 8pt;">(COB 01/07/2010)</span><br/> </th> </tr> <tr> <th width="20%"> Code</th> <th style="text-align: right;" width="20%"> Last</th> <th style="text-align: right;" width="30%"> Change %</th> </tr> <tr> <td> GBG<br/></td> <td style="text-align: right;"> $0.980</td> <td style="text-align: right; color: rgb(255, 44, 44);"> -21.6&nbsp; <br/></td> </tr> <tr> <td> DOW<br/></td> <td style="text-align: right;"> $3.420</td> <td style="text-align: right; color: rgb(255, 44, 44);"> -18.6&nbsp; <br/></td> </tr> <tr> <td> MMX<br/></td> <td style="text-align: right;"> $1.870</td> <td style="text-align: right; color: rgb(255, 44, 44);"> -16.5&nbsp; <br/></td> </tr> <tr> <td> AQP<br/></td> <td style="text-align: right;"> $5.580</td> <td style="text-align: right; color: rgb(255, 44, 44);"> -15.2&nbsp; <br/></td> </tr> <tr> <td> MML<br/></td> <td style="text-align: right;"> $3.900</td> <td style="text-align: right; color: rgb(255, 44, 44);"> -13.1&nbsp; <br/></td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <!-- TOP LOSERS END --> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="vertical-align: top;" colspan="2"> <!-- FINANCIAL CALENDAR START --> <table style="padding-left: 0px; width: 100%; padding-right: 0px; vertical-align: top; padding-top: 10px;" bgcolor="#ffffff" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td style="vertical-align: top;" align="left" height="" valign="middle"> <p style="font-size: 10pt;"> </p> <br/> <table style="width: 100%; height: 363px;" width="" align="Center" border="0" cellpadding="5" cellspacing="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align: center; background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); height: 25px; color: rgb(255, 255, 255); font-size: 12pt; font-family: verdana; vertical-align: top; font-weight: bold;" colspan="5" align="left" valign="center"> FINANCIAL CALENDAR</td> </tr> <tr> <th style="border: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); text-align: center; background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); width: 20%; color: rgb(255, 255, 255); font-weight: bold; font-size: 11pt; font-family: verdana;"> Monday 5th </th> <th style="border: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); text-align: center; background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); width: 20%; color: rgb(255, 255, 255); font-weight: bold; font-size: 11pt; font-family: verdana;"> Tuesday 6th </th> <th style="border: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); text-align: center; background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); width: 20%; color: rgb(255, 255, 255); font-weight: bold; font-size: 11pt; font-family: verdana;"> Wednesday 7th </th> <th style="border: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); text-align: center; background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); width: 20%; color: rgb(255, 255, 255); font-weight: bold; font-size: 11pt; font-family: verdana;"> Thursday 8th </th> <th style="border: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); text-align: center; background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); width: 20%; color: rgb(255, 255, 255); font-weight: bold; font-size: 11pt; font-family: verdana;"> Friday 9th </th> </tr> <tr style="vertical-align: top;"> <td style="border-right: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: verdana;"> <p style="color: rgb(0, 169, 79); font-size: 10pt; font-family: verdana; font-weight: bold;"> United States</p> <p style="font-size: 10pt;"> Holiday, Markets Closed <br/> </p></td> <td style="border-right: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: verdana;"> <br/></td> <td style="border-right: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: verdana;"> <br/></td> <td style="border-right: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: verdana;"> <p style="color: rgb(0, 169, 79); font-size: 10pt; font-family: verdana; font-weight: bold;"> United States</p> <p style="font-size: 10pt;"> Initial Jobless Claims,<br/> July 3<br/> </p> </td> <td style="border-right: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: verdana;"> <p style="color: rgb(0, 169, 79); font-size: 10pt; font-family: verdana; font-weight: bold;"> United States</p> <p style="font-size: 10pt;"> Wholesale Inv,<br/> May (last 0.4%)<br/> </p> </td> </tr> <tr style="vertical-align: top;"> <td style="border-right: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: verdana;"> <p style="color: rgb(0, 169, 79); font-size: 10pt; font-family: verdana; font-weight: bold;"> Australia</p> <p style="font-size: 10pt;"> HIA New Home Sales,<br/> May (last 6.2%)<br/> Pvt Sector Credit,<br/> May (last 0.2%)<br/> </p> </td> <td style="border-right: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: verdana;"> <p style="color: rgb(0, 169, 79); font-size: 10pt; font-family: verdana; font-weight: bold;"> Australia</p> <p style="font-size: 10pt;"> Trade Bal,,<br/> May (last A$134m)<br/> </p> </td> <td style="border-right: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: verdana;"> <p style="color: rgb(0, 169, 79); font-size: 10pt; font-family: verdana; font-weight: bold;"> </p> <br/></td> <td style="border-right: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: verdana;"> <p style="color: rgb(0, 169, 79); font-size: 10pt; font-family: verdana; font-weight: bold;"> Australia</p> <p style="font-size: 10pt;"> Unemployment Rate,<br/> Jun (last 5.2%)<br/> </p> </td> <td style="border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: verdana;"> &nbsp;</td> </tr> <tr style="vertical-align: top;"> <td style="border-right: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: verdana;"> <p style="color: rgb(0, 169, 79); font-size: 10pt; font-family: verdana; font-weight: bold;"> Dividend</p> <p style="font-size: 10pt;">CAM<br/> </p><p style="font-size: 10pt;">TBG<br/> </p> </td> <td style="border-right: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: verdana;"> &nbsp;</td> <td style="border-right: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: verdana;"> <br/><p style="font-size: 10pt;"> </p> <br/></td> <td style="border-right: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: verdana;"> <p style="color: rgb(0, 169, 79); font-size: 10pt; font-family: verdana; font-weight: bold;"> Dividend</p> <p style="font-size: 10pt;">TTA<br/> </p> </td> <td style="border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: verdana;"> <p style="color: rgb(0, 169, 79); font-size: 10pt; font-family: verdana; font-weight: bold;"> Dividend</p> <p style="font-size: 10pt;">JRL<br/> </p> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <!-- FINANCIAL CALENDAR END --> <br/><br/> <!-- DISCLAIMER START --> <table width="97%" align="center" border="0" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="2"> <tbody> <tr> <td style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: verdana; font-size: 8pt; text-align: justify;"> <span style="font-weight: bold;">Disclaimer</span><br/><br/> Trader Dealer Online Pty Ltd ('Trader Dealer Online') ACN 090 611 680 is part of MDS Financial Group Ltd ABN 90 091 744 884. 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